Naters vs FC Malley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
FRI
3 - 1
NAT
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 1
BEX
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
1 - 0
DUD
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
STA
2 - 0
NAT
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 3
UGS
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
FCM
1 - 2
STA
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
FCM
3 - 0
MEY
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
UGS
3 - 1
FCM
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
FCM
2 - 1
TPA
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCM
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |