Naters vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
9º
8º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ECH
1 - 0
NAT
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NAT
1 - 0
LAU
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
NAT
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NAT
2 - 0
SEC
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MEY
2 - 1
NAT
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 5
MEY
12%
19%
68%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSC
4 - 0
FCK
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
NAT
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
LAC
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
FCK
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |