Naters vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
YOU
0 - 0
NAT
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAT
2 - 1
VEV
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAU
3 - 1
NAT
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BUL
0 - 2
NAT
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NAT
3 - 0
THU
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ETO
2 - 1
ECH
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 0
ETO
19%
20%
62%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 2
VEV
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ETO
4 - 1
FRI
86%
9%
4%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 2
MAR
65%
18%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |