Naters vs CS Chênois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
9º
8º
46
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAT
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NAT
3 - 0
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEC
0 - 1
NAT
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NAT
0 - 2
SIO
37%
22%
42%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MEY
6 - 1
NAT
62%
19%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CS Chênois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 1
ECH
57%
20%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 4
CSC
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
LAC
57%
20%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
3 - 1
TER
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 2
CSC
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |