Naters vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
1 - 0
DUD
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
STA
2 - 0
NAT
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 3
UGS
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 0
SEN
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TPA
0 - 2
NAT
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BEX
0 - 4
STA
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
UGS
2 - 0
BEX
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BEX
0 - 0
TPA
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
BEX
2 - 1
MEY
22%
24%
55%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SIO
3 - 0
BEX
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |