Næstved vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
9º
5º
44
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
AKA
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 0
NAE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
3 - 3
SKI
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
NAE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
LFA
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
LFA
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
IIF
1 - 3
AAF
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
AAF
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |