Næstved II vs Fjordager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
OKS
2 - 1
NAS
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 3
AAR
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 0
NAS
31%
22%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAS
58%
20%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 4
HAD
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Fjordager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
FJO
2 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
59%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAD
2 - 1
FJO
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FJO
1 - 1
NAE
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BON
1 - 0
FJO
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FJO
1 - 3
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |