Næstved II vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
0 - 3
NAS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
NAS
43%
23%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NAS
1 - 2
HED
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
MID
1 - 4
NAS
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 1
HAD
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 1
NAK
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 1
OKS
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GVI
2 - 0
AAR
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 1
SKJ
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 2
AAR
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |