Al Nasr vs Modern SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NFC
1 - 1
NAS
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
NAS
0 - 1
PSU
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
ALQ
1 - 2
NAS
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NAS
1 - 4
TAN
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
NAS
0 - 1
SEL
79%
14%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Modern SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CCF
3 - 0
SEL
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CCF
1 - 0
ZAR
65%
20%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CCF
1 - 2
GSH
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ELD
1 - 0
CCF
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CCF
0 - 1
MAS
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |