NAŠK vs Virovitica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NMC
0 - 1
NAS
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NAS
3 - 2
NKS
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
NAS
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NAS
0 - 1
NKD
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NAS
3 - 1
NOO
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 0
NMC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
NKS
2 - 3
VIR
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 1
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 0
NKD
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |