NAŠK vs Valpovka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
13º
3º
36
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 0
NAS
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
NAS
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NAS
4 - 0
OGV
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DRD
3 - 1
NAS
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NAS
0 - 3
VUK
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Valpovka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
ORI
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NKS
1 - 3
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAL
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
SLA
2 - 0
VAL
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |