NAŠK vs Valpovka analysis

NAŠK Valpovka
23 ELO 28
-12.1% Tilt 3.1%
27131º General ELO ranking 27122º
138º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
23.2%
NAŠK
21%
Draw
55.8%
Valpovka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
NAŠK
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.8%
Win probability
Valpovka
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NAŠK
-9%
-15%
Valpovka

Points and table prediction

NAŠK
Their league position
Valpovka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
13º
36
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Slavonija Pozega
59
59
100%
Graničar Županja
58
58
100%
NAŠK
52
52
100%
Kutjevo
49
49
100%
Čepin
47
47
100%
NK Borac
44
44
100%
Pleternica
43
43
100%
Oriolik Oriovac
42
42
100%
Vuteks Sloga
41
41
100%
NK Svačić
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Bedem
11º
38
38
11º
0%
Sloga NG
12º
38
38
12º
0%
Valpovka
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Đakovo Croatia
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Darda
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Gornja Vrba
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
NAŠK
Valpovka
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NAŠK
Valpovka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NAŠK
NAŠK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
CRO
Đakovo Croatia
1 - 0
NAŠK
NAS
78%
13%
9%
22 35 13 0
20 Aug. 2022
ORI
Oriolik Oriovac
1 - 0
NAŠK
NAS
54%
21%
25%
22 25 3 0
28 May. 2022
NAS
NAŠK
4 - 0
Gornja Vrba
OGV
45%
23%
32%
21 22 1 +1
21 May. 2022
DRD
Darda
3 - 1
NAŠK
NAS
40%
22%
39%
22 21 1 -1
14 May. 2022
NAS
NAŠK
0 - 3
Vukovar '91
VUK
10%
17%
73%
24 47 23 -2

Matches

Valpovka
Valpovka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
VAL
Valpovka
1 - 1
Oriolik Oriovac
ORI
62%
19%
19%
29 26 3 0
21 Aug. 2022
NKS
NK Svačić
1 - 3
Valpovka
VAL
61%
19%
20%
28 32 4 +1
12 Jun. 2021
GRA
Graničar Županja
2 - 0
Valpovka
VAL
67%
17%
16%
28 35 7 0
06 Jun. 2021
VAL
Valpovka
2 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
23%
22%
55%
26 40 14 +2
03 Jun. 2021
SLA
Pleternica
2 - 0
Valpovka
VAL
48%
22%
31%
27 27 0 -1