NAŠK vs Pleternica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NKL
3 - 1
NAS
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAS
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
NAS
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NAS
1 - 0
VUK
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAS
4 - 0
SLA
14%
21%
66%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Pleternica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SLA
1 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SLA
2 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VUK
2 - 2
SLA
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SLA
1 - 1
VIS
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SLA
4 - 1
NKL
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |