NAŠK vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
NAS
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NAS
1 - 0
VUK
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAS
4 - 0
SLA
14%
21%
66%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
VIS
1 - 4
NAS
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAS
3 - 0
NKL
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
4 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -3 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
GRA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SLA
1 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |