NAŠK vs Graničar Županja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
13º
3º
58
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BED
3 - 1
NAS
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 1
SLA
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 3
NAS
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
3 - 1
VUT
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OGV
0 - 2
NAS
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Graničar Županja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
ORI
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NKS
2 - 0
GRA
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
BKV
40%
22%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 0
CRO
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BED
0 - 2
GRA
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |