NAŠK vs Bjelovar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
NAS
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NAS
0 - 2
NMC
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
NOO
4 - 0
NAS
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NAS
1 - 0
GOS
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NKN
0 - 2
NAS
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
BJE
1 - 1
NMC
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GOS
2 - 1
BJE
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BJE
1 - 2
NMP
67%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NKL
1 - 1
BJE
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BJE
0 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |