NAŠK vs Bijelo Brdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 0
OTO
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
NOO
1 - 0
NAS
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NAS
0 - 1
ORI
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -4 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 1
NAS
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NAS
3 - 0
NMC
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
BIJ
6 - 3
NOO
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 0
BIJ
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BIJ
5 - 0
CRO
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NMC
2 - 1
BIJ
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BIJ
1 - 2
SLA
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |