NAŠK vs Belisce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAS
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
3 - 0
VIS
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
NAS
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 3
BIJ
18%
23%
58%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VUK
1 - 0
NAS
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Belisce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 1
NKL
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NMC
1 - 2
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 1
MLA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NKS
1 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 1
NOO
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |