Nasaf Qarshi vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
7º
1º
27
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
52% | 3.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
20.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
QOQ
0 - 2
NAS
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
PAK
6 - 3
NAS
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 2
BUN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 1
NAS
23%
28%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAS
4 - 0
QIZ
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 2
NEF
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
OLM
12 - 1
NFA
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
QOQ
1 - 3
OLM
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OLM
4 - 3
AND
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BUN
1 - 0
OLM
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |