Närpes Kraft vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
GBK
1 - 1
NAR
63%
19%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SJJ
2 - 1
NAR
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VPS
7 - 0
NAR
49%
22%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KER
8 - 1
NAR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 3
KUO
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HER
3 - 2
VIF
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
KUO
1 - 3
HER
41%
21%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SCJ
1 - 4
HER
12%
14%
74%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
OTP
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OPS
3 - 6
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |