Narón BP vs O Val analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narón BP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DUB
0 - 4
NAR
24%
24%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
3 - 0
CDU
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOI
1 - 1
NAR
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 1
COM
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DUM
1 - 2
NAR
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OVA
0 - 2
LAR
55%
23%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SON
1 - 1
OVA
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OVA
3 - 0
GAL
72%
18%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
3 - 1
OVA
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OVA
0 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |