Narón BP vs Lalín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narón BP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
NEG
1 - 1
NAR
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 1
ARO
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ALO
1 - 2
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 4
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
COX
2 - 0
NAR
42%
25%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lalín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LAL
1 - 1
ORD
55%
24%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
LAL
36%
28%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
VER
1 - 0
LAL
34%
28%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LAL
2 - 1
NEG
62%
23%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 1
LAL
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |