Narnese Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narnese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
ANC
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
ANC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ANC
3 - 3
FLA
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PIA
3 - 0
ANC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ANC
0 - 2
ASD
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
OST
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
PIS
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 0
FOL
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
VFC
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |