Narnese Calcio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narnese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
4 - 2
ANC
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 1
SPO
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
VFC
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PIS
6 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASD
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 0
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |