Nardò vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 1
NAR
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 1
FON
37%
28%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 0
NAR
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 1
FRA
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
SSE
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 2
FRA
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 0
FRA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |