Nardò vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
NAR
31%
28%
41%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
4 - 1
NAR
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 1
USF
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUR
3 - 1
TAR
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
TUR
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 1
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
TUR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TUR
1 - 0
GLA
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |