Nardò vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis

Nardò SS Manfredonia Calcio
58 ELO 45
-9.5% Tilt -7.5%
3267º General ELO ranking 5553º
107º Country ELO ranking 200º
ELO win probability
61.1%
Nardò
22.8%
Draw
16.1%
SS Manfredonia Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
Nardò
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.1%
Win probability
SS Manfredonia Calcio
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nardò
-31%
+28%
SS Manfredonia Calcio

Points and table prediction

Nardò
Their league position
SS Manfredonia Calcio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
10º
35
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Casarano
74
74
100%
Nocerina
70
70
100%
Martina Franca
62
62
100%
Fidelis Andria
57
57
100%
Città di Fasano
50
50
100%
Matera
49
49
100%
Virtus Francavilla
47
47
0%
Nardò
47
47
0%
Ischia
45
45
100%
Gravina
11º
42
42
10º
100%
Palmese
10º
42
42
11º
100%
Brindisi
16º
27
41
12º
100%
FC Francavilla 1931
12º
41
41
13º
0%
Acerrana 1926
13º
41
41
14º
0%
Ugento
14º
37
37
15º
100%
SS Manfredonia Calcio
15º
35
35
16º
100%
Angri
17º
24
24
17º
100%
Costa d'Amalfi
18º
21
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nardò
SS Manfredonia Calcio
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Nardò
SS Manfredonia Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nardò
Nardò
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2025
FIA
Fidelis Andria
1 - 0
Nardò
NAR
43%
28%
29%
59 61 2 0
09 Feb. 2025
NAR
Nardò
1 - 0
Costa d'Amalfi
AMA
71%
18%
11%
59 24 35 0
02 Feb. 2025
FCF
FC Francavilla 1931
1 - 2
Nardò
NAR
18%
25%
57%
59 44 15 0
26 Jan. 2025
NOC
Nocerina
2 - 0
Nardò
NAR
31%
28%
41%
60 55 5 -1
19 Jan. 2025
NAR
Nardò
4 - 0
Ugento
UGE
64%
21%
15%
59 34 25 +1

Matches

SS Manfredonia Calcio
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2025
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
0 - 1
FC Francavilla 1931
FCF
49%
25%
26%
44 44 0 0
09 Feb. 2025
NOC
Nocerina
0 - 0
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
58%
24%
18%
44 58 14 0
02 Feb. 2025
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1 - 1
Ugento
UGE
57%
22%
21%
44 35 9 0
26 Jan. 2025
MAT
Matera
3 - 0
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
62%
21%
17%
45 55 10 -1
19 Jan. 2025
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
3 - 2
Angri
ACC
50%
24%
26%
44 40 4 +1