Nardò vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 1
NAR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
SFM
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 1
NAR
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
7%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PIC
4 - 1
SSM
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SSM
0 - 3
FBC
32%
22%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SSE
2 - 2
SSM
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 2
FCF
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |