Nardò vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
NAR
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 0
POM
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
NAR
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
SER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RPO
1 - 2
NAR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
4 - 0
TUR
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
SSM
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
TOR
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACI
0 - 1
SSM
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SSM
0 - 4
PIC
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |