Nardò vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAR
5 - 2
ASD
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SSB
3 - 2
NAR
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AFR
2 - 2
NAR
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 0
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ASF
1 - 3
SSB
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SSB
3 - 2
NAR
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
SSB
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SSB
0 - 0
PUT
81%
13%
5%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SSB
1 - 0
ASD
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |