Nardò vs Sporting Fulgor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 1
NAR
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 2
NAR
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
NFR
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCF
2 - 2
NAR
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
3 - 2
NFR
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
SFM
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
1 - 2
FBC
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
FCF
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |