Nardò vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 0
AUD
29%
29%
43%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 0
NAR
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
LAV
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 1
NAR
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
FCF
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
SOR
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
SOR
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 2
SOR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 3
POR
67%
21%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
SOR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |