Nardò vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 0
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
4 - 0
SSM
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
TAR
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
NAR
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 1
FCF
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 0
SSE
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
AUD
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FBC
4 - 0
SSE
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSE
4 - 0
CYN
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |