Nardò vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
NAR
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 0
RPO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 2
NAR
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
APR
1 - 2
NAR
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 1
GAL
47%
24%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SSE
3 - 0
REA
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
APR
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 0
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
TUR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |