Nardò vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
POM
2 - 0
NAR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
SSE
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 0
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
4 - 0
SSM
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FCF
2 - 3
PIC
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 0
NFR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
POM
1 - 1
PIC
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 0
SSE
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |