Nardò vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FBC
0 - 2
NAR
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CSV
0 - 0
NAR
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 3
NOC
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MDC
0 - 1
NAR
26%
23%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 1
NOC
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIC
3 - 4
GEL
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
CSV
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 1
GEL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 0
GEL
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |