Nardò vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 0
NAR
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
FIA
36%
28%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FBC
2 - 2
NAR
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
NAR
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
ASF
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 3
TAR
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FBC
2 - 0
MOL
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MOL
5 - 2
RAA
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MOL
3 - 4
ASF
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
MOL
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |