Nardò vs Angelo Cristofaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 2
BRI
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 2
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 0
NAR
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Angelo Cristofaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 2
MAR
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
INT
1 - 0
ANG
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 1
ANG
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 2
CAM
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
4 - 1
VIR
27%
24%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |