Nardo vs Stabæk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
2º
32
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
STR
3 - 0
NAR
56%
20%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 0
NAR
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RAN
7 - 0
NAR
76%
14%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
STB
1 - 0
NAR
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
8 - 0
KOL
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
STA
5 - 0
ULL
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LYS
2 - 1
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
GIF
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
6 - 3
STA
46%
21%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 4
FAN
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |