Narcea vs C.D. Valsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAR
39%
24%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
4 - 0
ARE
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 0
NAR
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 2
AST
53%
22%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Valsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
VAL
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
AST
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GOZ
0 - 2
VAL
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |