Narcea vs Urraca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 1
NAR
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 1
56%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 0
NAR
44%
23%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAR
2 - 1
UNI
30%
23%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PIL
1 - 2
NAR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Urraca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
URR
2 - 4
AST
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
URR
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
URR
1 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TIN
0 - 1
URR
42%
25%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
URR
1 - 3
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |