Narcea vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
LLA
3 - 3
NAR
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
NAR
1 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEA
2 - 4
NAR
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
NAR
3 - 2
NAI
28%
28%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
AST
2 - 0
NAR
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CON
0 - 1
UPL
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
UPL
3 - 1
NAI
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 2
UPL
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
UPL
1 - 1
MOS
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
COL
0 - 0
UPL
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |