Narcea vs Unión Comercial analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

13.1%

Draw

0-0

13.1%

86.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
26.6%
-1
26.6%
0-2
27.1%
-2
27.1%
0-3
18.4%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9.3%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.8%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.3%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Narcea

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 May. 2012	LEN 1 - 3 NAR 63% 20% 17%	17	20	3	0
20 May. 2012	NAR 3 - 0 SMA 75% 17% 8%	16	7	9	+1
13 May. 2012	CAR 1 - 1 NAR 62% 21% 16%	16	20	4	0
05 May. 2012	NAR 1 - 1 VAL 27% 27% 46%	16	20	4	0
29 Apr. 2012	PRA 2 - 0 NAR 70% 19% 11%	16	23	7	0

Matches

Unión Comercial

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Mar. 2013	UCO 0 - 4 SIE 43% 24% 33%	17	19	2	0
23 Mar. 2013	SDL 3 - 2 UCO 68% 19% 14%	18	24	6	-1
17 Mar. 2013	UCO 1 - 0 NAL 51% 22% 26%	17	16	1	+1
10 Mar. 2013	2 - 1 UCO 68% 18% 14%	17	23	6	0
03 Mar. 2013	UCO 0 - 2 TUR 53% 22% 25%	18	17	1	-1