Narcea vs UD Llanera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PCF
1 - 0
NAR
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NAR
4 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
URR
2 - 2
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 1
SMA
58%
23%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
3 - 0
NAR
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
UDL
2 - 3
AST
54%
23%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
UDL
78%
15%
7%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 1
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TIN
2 - 1
UDL
69%
19%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 1
ATL
26%
26%
49%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |