Narcea vs Ribadesella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
TUR
0 - 2
NAR
49%
26%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NAR
0 - 1
RTI
31%
28%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SMA
2 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
NAR
0 - 0
UPL
19%
26%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
LLA
3 - 3
NAR
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
RTI
1 - 3
RIB
55%
24%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
RIB
1 - 0
UPL
26%
27%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CON
1 - 1
RIB
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
RIB
2 - 0
NAI
40%
27%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 2
RIB
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |