Narcea vs Real Titánico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GIN
3 - 0
NAR
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 2
LLA
33%
28%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
NAR
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 2
AVI
13%
24%
63%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 2
NAR
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Titánico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
RTI
2 - 1
MOS
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAI
1 - 1
RTI
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
RTI
1 - 1
CAU
25%
27%
47%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RTI
4 - 2
TUR
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SMA
0 - 0
RTI
55%
25%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |