Narcea vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
NAR
4 - 3
TUI
33%
27%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
SMA
0 - 0
NAR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
NAR
1 - 1
HIS
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
RIB
1 - 1
NAR
56%
22%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
NAR
0 - 1
NAI
28%
28%
44%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
NAV
0 - 1
UNI
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
TUI
3 - 0
NAV
50%
26%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
NAV
2 - 0
RTI
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
SMA
1 - 0
NAV
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
NAV
2 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |