Narcea vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PRA
4 - 0
NAR
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 2
SMA
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAR
28%
25%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 0
URR
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TIN
1 - 1
NAR
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LUA
1 - 3
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HIS
0 - 1
LUA
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LUA
1 - 0
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TAP
1 - 0
LUA
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUA
2 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |