Narcea vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CON
4 - 0
NAR
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
NAR
5 - 0
TUR
49%
27%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PCF
0 - 0
NAR
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 0
COV
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
4 - 3
NAR
83%
13%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LEA
0 - 0
MOS
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
NAI
0 - 7
LEA
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
LEA
0 - 0
CAU
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LEA
1 - 0
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |