Narcea vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UDL
0 - 2
NAR
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 1
PCF
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAR
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
URR
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 1
NAR
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
AST
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
COV
2 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
VAL
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TIN
1 - 3
COL
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COL
1 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |