Narcea vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+246%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 0
HIS
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAR
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 2
TAP
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 3
NAR
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 2
ATL
46%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
COM
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
SAL
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
TAP
2 - 1
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |